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02/11/2012 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ty Lawson scored 27 points to lead the Nuggets to a 113-109 win over the Pacers on Saturday.
Denver had five scorers in double figures, including 23 points from Arron Afflalo and 19 from Corey Brewer, as the Nuggets snapped a five-game losing streak.
Danny Granger led the way for the Pacers with 26 points and David West chipped in 22 points and seven rebounds. A.J. Price scored 13 points off the bench for a Pacers team that has now dropped a season-high three straight games.
Back-to-back triples from Paul George around an Al Harrington layup pulled the Pacers within four, 106-102, with 3:07 remaining in regulation.
After an Andre Miller miss, Darren Collison got the hoop and the harm to close the gap to 106-105 heading into the home stretch.
The Pacers had a chance to pull within one again on a three-point play but West's free throw was off the mark. Afflalo missed a jumper on the other end, and Indiana had the ball trailing 111-109 with 22.5 seconds to go.
Indiana looked to go inside to West again, but his kick out pass went wide of Collison and bounced into the backcourt for an over-and-back violation.
Afflalo, who scored 12 points in the final frame, calmly stepped to the charity stripe and hit both foul shots to give the Nuggets a two-possession lead.
Granger came out of the gates scorching as he scored 18 points in the first quarter on 7-of-9 shooting to give the Pacers a 35-26 lead heading into the second stanza.
The Nuggets showed resolve, reeling off 10 straight points to cut the lead to 53-51 with 3:05 left until halftime.
Ty Lawson finished the first half with 17 points, including a floater that capped the scoring to pull the Nuggets even, 60-60, heading into the locker room.
The two teams exchanged buckets throughout the third quarter as the Nuggets took a slight 87-84 lead into the final stanza.
Game Notes
The Pacers have dropped 12 of 15 meetings in this series...The Pacers are 7-3 at home...The Pacers will host Miami on Tuesday, while Denver will host the Suns on Tuesday...The Nuggets won the points in the paint battle 62-46...The Pacers turned the ball over 20 points which led to 22 points for the Nuggets.
<< Pinceton continues home dominance of Harvard
Princeton, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Harvard's unbeaten mark in the Ivy League
came to a halt Saturday night against a team they haven't solved on the road
in more than 23 years.
Ian Hummer scored 20 points, pulled down nine rebounds and h
<< Baylor thumps Texas A&M to stay perfect
Waco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brittney Griner dropped in a game-high 21 points
to go with 10 rebounds and six blocks as top-ranked Baylor took care of
business with a 71-48 victory over Texas A&M on Saturday.
Odyssey Sims finishe
<< Spartans snap Ohio State's long home win streak
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Adreian Payne scored a team-high 15 points as
No. 11 Michigan State handed third-ranked Ohio State its first home loss in
almost two years with a 58-48 decision at Value City Arena.
Keith Appling added 14
<< France tops Canada to take lead in Davis Cup
Vancouver, BC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Julien Benneteau and Michael Llodra took
down Canadians Daniel Nestor and Milos Raonic in straight sets, 7-6 (7-1),
7-6 (7-2), 6-3 to give France a 2-1 edge in the third rubber of a best-of-
five tie
Stamkos leads Bolts past Sabres >>
Buffalo, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steven Stamkos lit the lamp and added an assist
while Mathieu Garon stopped 26 shots as the Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the
Buffalo Sabres, 2-1.
Steve Downie also scored for Tampa Bay, which had lost t
Price, Canadiens blank Maple Leafs >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carey Price made 32 saves to record his fourth
shutout of the season and 16th of his career as the Montreal Canadiens blanked
the Toronto Maple Leafs, 5-0, at Air Canada Centre.
Mathieu Darche had a goal and a
Sixers stop shorthanded Cavs >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jrue Holiday led a balanced Philadelphia
attack with 20 points as the 76ers rolled to a 99-84 victory over the
Cleveland Cavaliers.
Lou Williams added 19 points, Thaddeus Young had 16, Elton
Umberger paces Blue Jackets over Wild >>
St. Paul, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - R.J. Umberger scored a pair of goals, leading
the Columbus Blue Jackets to a 3-1 win over the Minnesota Wild at Xcel Energy
Center.
James Wisniewski -- playing in his first game after missing the previous
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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